Business 14/08/2026 01:44 PM

No Revision To 2026 GDP Growth Forecast Of 5.0 Pct For Now - BNM

BERNAMA Malaysian National News Agency
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No Revision To 2026 GDP Growth Forecast Of 5.0 Pct For Now - BNM
Kredit: BNM

KUALA LUMPUR, Aug 14 (Bernama) --  Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) said that there is no need to revise Malaysia’s 2026 gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast at this juncture, remaining confident that growth will likely settle around five per cent.

Governor Datuk Seri Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said any revisions will normally happen during the Budget announcement.

"We have been experiencing growth above our expectations for the last three quarters. 

"Looking at the drivers of growth, in terms of consumption, investment, exports, tourism, and the rest, all these factors that are driving growth are still there, and will continue to take us into the second half," he said in a press conference after announcing Malaysia's second-quarter (2Q) gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

Malaysia's economy expanded by 6.0 per cent in 2Q 2026, surpassing the Department of Statistics Malaysia's advance estimate of 5.8 per cent

Abdul Rasheed said the main driver of growth has been domestic demand, adding that the country has received strong support from the external sector, particularly in the previous quarter.

"I would say growth has been broad-based. Even within the export sector, the support to the overall economy has been diversified, with both electrical and electronics (E&E) and non-E&E exports recording growth. 

"We have also seen an increase in the information and communications technology services sector," he said.

However, he noted that there could be some adjustment to Malaysia's growth drivers going forward, given the uncertainties surrounding the global economy and geopolitical conflicts, which may weigh on growth.

The governor noted that household consumption remains resilient at 4.8 pct in 2Q 2026, backed by income growth, savings and government policy support.

"If we look at consumption, the main factors supporting it are income, followed by savings, government policy support and household borrowing.

"Borrowing is a very small driver of direct consumption," he said.

Meanwhile, Abdul Rasheed said the impact of El Niño on the economy would be felt with a lag and would be largely confined to the agricultural sector.

"However, it is important for businesses and households to start to prepare if things were to get worse because of El Niño and to adapt accordingly," he added.

-- BERNAMA